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Indeed, just look at the leap forwards in improvement from GPT2 to GPT3 Or each generation from Midjourney V1 vs V2 vs V3 vs V4 vs vV5 (and those 5 generations only took a single year to happen!!!). https://aituts.com/midjourney-versions/ We might laugh at the efforts of generative AI video right now, but they're no worse than Midjourney V1 was.... Perhaps 50/50 odds we'll have the Midjourney V5 equivalent for video by 2028: https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener Or maybe even higher odds than that... https://manifold.markets/firstuserhere/will-we-have-end-to-end-ai-generate-12f2be941361 https://manifold.markets/firstuserhere/will-we-have-end-to-end-ai-generate-de41c9309e38 I agree with your disagreeing. That's a good analogy! And if it is carefully/appropriately managed, you can even have a change in voice actor who is doing these characters, and almost none of the fans will notice or care. Another good analogy. It is indeed very likely, I feel, that the country as a whole will be massively better off and wealthier thanks to AI. But... there will also be huge numbers of individuals (such as those middle aged textile workers) who will be a lot worse off. We'll be able to have super niche "micro celebrity AI avatars" At the moment, celebrities need a certain amount of broad appeal. As you said, they need to avoid offending their fans. So end up appealing to the common denominator, because what might appeal to one section of the fan base could drive away other fans who get offended by it. But once you're freed from the physical constraints, then an "AI celebrity" could cater to any and all of these micro niche fanbases. "I think there is a world market for about five computers." ~ IBM's president, Thomas J Watson (said in the early 1940's) Nah, my Raspberry Pi can run a LLM. (ok, only a baby-ChatGPT that's quite cut down, and somewhat crippled. But even if I want to run a LLM that's quite close to the power of GPT3, that only costs me much much less than a $1/hr, in fact, more like a handful of cents per hour. It is cheap to run a LLM) It's predicted as highly like that even GPT4 can be run on consumer grade hardware by next year: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-a-gpt4equivalent-model-be-able What you're thinking about, is the costs to train GPT4 from scratch. That's VERY EXPENSIVE! But still, it isn't quite as bad as you think. If a government wanted to do it, then absolutely any government in the OCED could do this, they could do it ten times over. Likewise, there are hundreds, if not thousands, of companies in the world which could train the next GPT4 if they wanted to. (GPT4 would've cost roughly the same order of magnitude as $100M in costs, waaaay out of reach for you and me, but easily within reach of many many other organizations) But they won't, because the costs to train their own GPT4 vs the profits they could make (as AI is quickly becoming a very competitive space!) just isn't worth it. The good news though, is that costs for training are dropping drastically fast! Look at this prediction, it is highly likely that before 2030 it will cost under $10K to train from scratch a GPT3 quality LLM (i.e. any keen hobbyist can do it themselves!): https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-a-gpt3-quality-model-be-traine And that's yet another reason why there are not hundreds of other companies training their own GPT4, why put that risk into it if you're not already an industry leader in this? When your $100M+ investment could quickly within a few short years be worth next to nothing. You need a solid business plan to recoup your costs fast. OpenAI can do that, because they're massively funded with Microsoft's backing, and they have a first mover advantage. Too late, that genie left the bottle long ago.

Had a quick go at the Z8 the other day. Shot some 8K ProRes test footage with a vintage Nikkor AIS lens and the Z 35mm f1.8. I have mixed feelings about it. For some reason the IBIS was disabled on the AIS lens, not sure if that's the case with all adapted lenses or not but it was rather disapointing (VR and EIS was greyed out). That said, it was pretty glorious seeing that vintage lens in 8K for the first time! N-Log is kind of a can of worms. Footage is pretty noisy at ISO800 and yeah the provided Nikon LUTS really do suck, horrible highlight roll-off that kills the DR. The info is there though so you'll get better results going manual. The menus and button control is probably the worst from any system, sorry Nikon it really does my head in. Also the grip felt sticky which is not cool. The size/weight is just right, love the LCD hinge system and overall build quality. Just a quick first impression so I guess take what I say with a grain of salt. I do like the camera despite my few gripes and might even try renting it to spend more time with it as again the menu/UI takes a lot of getting used to.

Having music constantly playing over dialogue also didn't help.

Interesting.. I thought this was a good explainer: TLDR; Nolan only mixes for the best theatres, and doesn't care about shittier ones. I guess that arrogance has run its course, since you saw it on IMAX and still couldn't hear it!

I can see Nolans point of view, I personally had to disconnect the internet in my work office because its too distracting, even told my boss to get me one of those dumb phones since we were required to take phone calls. Only three times a day did I connect to the internet, when I came to work, after lunch and 30 mins before the workday was over, and all of that, was to check and reply to emails as those are primary source of tasks including updating the progress on various jobs online. I really hate working on computers in general for the simple fact its easier to draw concepts on paper than it is to make one in a computer says it all. It even went to the point where if I had no idea what to design or create, I had to walk out the office, go sit somewhere, and I probably sit there for 2 -3 hours just drawing madly in my notes until the boss had enough of that and I quit 6 months later for burn-out. The world is so connected today its honestly mind blowing when people complain they are "lonely" in life, well I wonder why? Most people sit in their little echo-chambers feeding narcissism and other toxic attitudes, the days of social gatherings ended and I am so thankful to have actually lived in an era before social media just so that I personally know what it is like having to meet friends and go out do something, we used to go photography trips together a lot, but no one wants to do it, why? Oh they got smartphones now, it take pictures, they are bored of it. Thats another problem, ease of access, makes things boring, there no struggle, there no challenge to anything thats easy, why work hard when you can work easy? Right? What took a team of 3 people to make a magazine design, is now pushed onto suckers like me who have deadlines in 1 week. The thing how Nolan was missing out is true to many extent, people making groups in social media and chatting away, but in my 14 years of experience, I never seen these groups ever do anything productive, its always toxicity brewing eventually. But if you were to meet out for a drink, thats rarely the case mostly because everyones too drunk to care. I miss the analogue world, and while I do appreciate the modern wonders, too many side effects.

Peter Doyle (colourist on Harry Potter, Lord of the Rings, etc) speaks about how closely we can reproduce the colours in the real world. Spoiler: no. (linked to the relevant timestamp)

Time for us to ditch Sound Mixing etc and become "social media influencers"???